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2024-12-14 10:28:34

First of all, let's see if there will be a RRR cut or interest rate cut next weekend. Let's put it this way, it began to blow down the RRR in the middle and late November. Unfortunately, after the MLF parity was reduced and the local debt was issued, although the market liquidity was abundant, they all went to the national debt to hedge. A shares have not only failed to increase funds, but have become blood transfusion packages, which is the biggest reality.First of all, let's see if there will be a RRR cut or interest rate cut next weekend. Let's put it this way, it began to blow down the RRR in the middle and late November. Unfortunately, after the MLF parity was reduced and the local debt was issued, although the market liquidity was abundant, they all went to the national debt to hedge. A shares have not only failed to increase funds, but have become blood transfusion packages, which is the biggest reality.By the way, there will be an interest rate resolution of America next week. Even if there is no favorable interest rate reduction or interest rate reduction this week, it is estimated that it should be issued next week. In addition, the fund ranking war will start at the end of the year, and the second-class stocks should be the main tone! I wish you all a happy weekend. Don't be affected by today's plunge. We will fight again next week!


Look at the data first. The number of individual stocks in the two cities rose by 920, while the number of individual stocks fell by 4,410. Yesterday's general increase turned into today's general decline. Remember the plot to lure more investors that I suggested on Wednesday, and it came true after a day. Time-sharing handicap was boring, and it was smashed at the opening, and it was normal to dive again at the end of the session.Finally, to sum up my point of view, there is a high probability that the market will bottom out next week, and the strong support below is near the short-term trend line. Today's plunge is mainly due to yesterday's lure to pull the space too high, so today's retracement is a bit large. However, the follow-up also lacks the basis for a sustained plunge. At least today, this 28-month resonant crash is difficult to continue. The next big probability is that the 28-month market is dominant, so pay attention to the rhythm.I'm a trend trader, not a pure value investor, but I've seen countless junk stocks rise from high-rise buildings for so many years, and the final result is that buildings collapse without exception. So even if junk stocks are in the sky and the trend is beautiful, I dare not go up. This is not to make excuses for yourself, but to sum up the bloody experience after paying enough tuition in these 20 years!


Secondly, there is something wrong with such an increase in consumption, and junk stocks have gone to heaven. Let me give you a simple example. Recently, traditional consumption has soared, but you can see how the CPI data in November is, which is why the organization is not moving. Another point is that consumer ETFs have basically not followed, how can I put it? The tickets selected and optimized by institutions are not moving, and the hot money has speculated the tickets that institutions do not participate in.

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